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Submitted by SJIND 330d ago | article

University paper predicts an 80% decline for Facebook by 2015

Softonic- A computer science paper from the Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Princeton University, has predicted a drastic decline for Facebook over the next few years, based on mathematical models of the spread of epidemics and the decline of MySpace. (Facebook, Services, Web)

SJIND  +   331d ago
Facebook replaced MySpace, currently there is no better social network to replace Facebook so this not going to happen.
Speed-Racer  +   331d ago
Maybe there is but most likely you haven't heard about it yet.
SJIND  +   331d ago
Google Plus?
Speed-Racer  +   331d ago
No, I'm not pretending to know lol, but Facebook was around since 2004 and barely anyone knew it would be the success it is today. Maybe the next network exists but it's still waiting to get traction.
coolbeans  +   330d ago
"Maybe there is but most likely you haven't heard about it yet."

Fakeblock's anti-social network is the next big thing. And I joined when it's still cool. 8)
Captain Qwark 9  +   330d ago
"MyFace" is on the way!!!!!!!!!!

i just came up with it now. Its like Facebook but with less of everything its just "cool" because its not facebook. thats very similar to how facebook replaced my space
iSpy  +   329d ago
Facebook replaced MySpace, new MySpace may replace Facebook.!!!
gizmig  +   330d ago
From my opinion, it not gonna happen in near future but if there is a bit decline in it then the new generation will surely balance it. :D
blacktiger  +   330d ago
If you guys didn't know, your smartphone is your social network. Instead of Facebook with apps. It's smartphone with apps. What's even better is that my mobile is the identity and I can use google+ and Facebook. Another word your smartphone is open.
Soldierone  +   329d ago
Id agree entirely, people just don't realize it yet. I think third party apps that connect all these networks together, but streamline new updates will be the replacement.

People don't want to post to twitter AND FB AND Google+ etc, so they just go to an app that does it all.
ajax17  +   330d ago
Facebook is pretty much for people 40+ now. Hell, my dad is on more than me.
#4 (Edited 330d ago ) | Agree(0) | Disagree(0) | Report | Reply
360ICE  +   330d ago
I'd easily bet 10000$ that this is not going to happen.

As the article touches on, what would bring about the end of Facebook?

Also, who has the budget and resources to cope with everything Facebook offers? Probably only a major company like Google, and they've already given it a shot.

Facebook is not just a social media website like MySpace was, and is, it's a network that offers a wide variety of services, and that already holds an enormous amount of earth's population.

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#5 (Edited 330d ago ) | Agree(0) | Disagree(2) | Report | Reply
blackmanone  +   329d ago
Do you... do you work for Facebook?

Of course it's going to be replaced. That's the nature of the beast. The only question is 'when' that will happen, not 'if' that will happen.
360ICE  +   329d ago
I never actually said that it's not going to happen, eventually, as I agree - it probably will. But an 80% decline by 2015?

No, that sounds extremely unlikely to me. Facebook has a large cash capital to invest and reinvent themselves, and offer many services, all of which will probably not suffer an average decline that large by 2015.
#5.1.1 (Edited 329d ago ) | Agree(0) | Disagree(0) | Report
maniacmayhem  +   329d ago
Friendster is making a come back! Sign up now!
Soldierone  +   329d ago
If they keep going the route they are going, then yeah it will be fast. I remember when FB was still small, I could see friend updates from everybody. Little to no spam at all.

Today I see maybe 5 friends update daily, the rest are hidden from me and don't pop up till a day or two later. Meanwhile its advertised pages galore. I post and interact with more advertising pages than I do friends.... and personally I think thats what FB wants. It wants to be an advertising platform above social networking at this point. You can thank the stock market for that.
kingPoS  +   329d ago
I heard of this in the morning on NPR. It don't matter much to me either way. (Good ol' FM radio)
#8 (Edited 329d ago ) | Agree(0) | Disagree(0) | Report | Reply
Agent_hitman  +   329d ago
I think it will not happen since FB has already established a concrete momentum and foundation to all the netizens. Next thing you'll know they will become like Google, entering a hardware division and OSs/
#9 (Edited 329d ago ) | Agree(0) | Disagree(0) | Report | Reply

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